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Higher Probability Commodity Trading author, Carley Garner, is an experienced commodity broker at DeCarley Trading where she writes daily newsletters for her futures brokerage clients. Sign up for a free trial today!

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Using intermarket analysis for better price perspective

By Lane Mendelsohn


Most traders tend to divide themselves into one of two camps of market analysis: Fundamental analysis based on supply/demand dynamics, weather conditions, political events, economic reports, etc. or technical analysis focused on various views of price, the one output that incorporates all of the known information from those fundamentals as reflected by the sentiment of the trading crowd at a given moment.

Although fundamentals ultimately do drive market action, many traders do not have the capability to gain an edge on this basis. Even if they did have the ability to forecast fundamentals perfectly, what is often more unpredictable is traders’ reaction to those fundamentals in producing price patterns on charts and a wide variety of technical indicators.

The problem with both forms of analysis is that traders are dealing with past facts and data – figures and prices that have already occurred and are known by the marketplace. Traders can be whizzes at analyzing the past but, unfortunately, they have to trade in the future beyond the hard right edge of a price chart.

When traders do analyze historical data collected over time, they can apply all kinds of complex studies, formulas, and indicators in an effort to forecast future price trends for a market. Usually, however, they are looking at just one market – the specific market they want to trade – to determine where the next price move will be for that market. 

To continue reading, email This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. to request a copy of this intermarket analysis supplement.  You can also visit our brokerage website for a free trial of the VantagePoint intermarket analytical software, click here.

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Reviews of Higher Probability Commodity Trading from other Futures Market Professionals

  • I found Carley Garner's latest book, Higher Probability Commodity Trading, a great read for both beginner and advanced commodity traders. She nails the seemingly impossible task of leveling the playing field by imparting vital concepts in easy to digest bites. Carley's book offers readers an abundance of clever trading strategy and risk management techniques in that easy-to-read format, but she doesn't leave out the harsh realities and heartbreak many overzealous speculators face.  If you are Read More
    Jon Najarian co-founder NajarianFamilyOffice.com
  • In her book “Higher Probability Commodity Trading”, Carley Garner has written the new ‘bible’ of futures trading. Garner tackles every nuance of commodity trading and does it well; margins, spreads, seasonal patterns, technicals, speculative and commercial players – there isn’t a thing she’s seemed to have left out. And oh yes, she gives real world strategies too – a few which even this old dog is going to keep as new tricks. If you’ve got Read More
    Dan Dicker, Senior contributor RealMoney.com and Oilprice.com and Author, "Shale Boom, Shale Bust: The Myth of Saudi America"
  • Carley Garner’s book Higher Probability Commodity Trading offers a functional and realistic starting point for trading commodity futures and options.  Her introductions to different types of technical analysis helps to remove some of "mystery" of chart interpretation and in pattern identification.  Often we need to be reminded that trading futures has big advantages but not without some significant risks.  Carley’s book underscores the axiom that being forewarned is being forearmed.  In other words, gather as Read More
    Jim Iuorio - 30-year market veteran and CNBC contributor
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